Sunday 9th November 2025

Staying very mild with rain at times in the coming week – perhaps colder the week after, but that’s a long way away.

Thanks to Andy for the photograph.

So we are still in this position where high pressure over Europe is blocking Atlantic low pressure system from crossing the UK, but it’s close enough to send weather fronts across at times.

Sunday is a sunny start for many, though there are a few fog patches around. Cloud will gradually build during the day to make the sunshine increasingly hazy, but it will stay dry. Just about getting to 14’C and breezy later. Showery rain arriving later in the evening, some heavy bursts likely overnight – 12’C.

Monday sees further showery rain, some heavy bursts at times, especially in the morning and around lunchtime. Less showers in the afternoon but still some around – some brightness at times. Around 13’C and breezy. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 7’C.

Tuesday looks bright at times, but there will be plenty of cloud around thanks to the next set of weather fronts. Perhaps some bits of rain in the morning, but the first area should be further to our north – the main band of rain arriving in the evening at some point, perhaps more likely late evening though uncertain on the timing. Very mild, around 15’C and windy. Showery outbreaks of rain continuing overnight, still windy, still mild – around 14C.

Wednesday most likely is a cloudy day with further outbreaks of rain at times. Very mild and breezy, 15’C. Likely cloudy overnight, further rain possible later in the night but uncertain. Around 13’C.

By Thursday the low pressure system to our west is kind of giving up trying to cross the UK, and starts to sink south towards the Azores.

Uncertain on weather conditions at this stage. It will still be very mild, but whether it is a wet day or there is some hazy sunshine to be had – uncertain.

Likewise Friday, the very mild weather hangs on but where weather fronts will be is uncertain. It will likely rain at some point(s) on Thursday and/or Friday, but when it highly uncertain.

Details for next weekend are highly uncertain – colder (and drier) weather is going to try to push down from the north. Will it make it? Not sure.

I’d say Saturday is 65/35 in favour of very mild. Sunday more 50/50. Monday more 70/30 is favour of colder.

So there is a good chance of something colder and drier for the w/c 17th November, at least for a few days – perhaps overnight frost, perhaps fog.

No strong signals after that, though I’d say a return to something more unsettled and milder is the more likely outcome for late November.

Have a good Sunday.…

Thursday 6th November 2025

Very mild and fairly mixed weather ahead.

Thanks to Luci for the photograph.

So the general picture sees high pressure over Europe trying to block the Atlantic from sending low pressure systems across – and we are on the border, so it looks fairly mixed with neither settled or unsettled weather dominating right now.

We start Thursday fairly cloudy, some bright spells around but also some bits of showery rain around too. The afternoon remains fairly cloudy, but there will be some hazy sunshine at times. Very mild, 16’C, maybe even 17’C. A mild and fairly cloudy night, patchy mist/fog possible later in the night, and a chance of one or two showers also before dawn. Around 13’C.

Friday morning sees a few showers around, perhaps heavy, plenty of cloud though also some brightness. Probably somewhat sunnier through the lunchtime period (give or take) before a band of rain arrives mid/late afternoon, bringing 2-3 hours of patchy rain. Mild, around 15’C and becoming a bit breezier later in the day. Skies gradually clearing overnight, though fog may form in places towards dawn – around 9’C.

Saturday will be a pleasant day once any fog/low cloud in the morning has cleared – uncertain as to what extent fog/low cloud will have developed, and if it has, when it will break up. At best, it could be mostly sunny all day, at worst it will take until early afternoon to break up. Roughly around 14’C. Fairly clear skies overnight, a chance of fog patches forming in the latter half of the night – down to around 7’C, though very give and take on that.

By Sunday we’ll start to see weather fronts edge our way, but for most or all of the day it should be reasonably pleasant for the time of year, some sunshine, some cloud and still mild – around 14’C. Outbreaks of rain probably cross overnight.

Not yet able to do details for Monday, but broadly speaking rain clearing – just how long it takes to clear is uncertain, perhaps in the morning with sunny spells to follow – perhaps it lasts much of the day. Around 13’C or so.

By Tuesday low pressure will be making more of an effort to push our way – but it will still be blocked from doing so.

Day to day details not yet possible for next week, but broadly speaking it will be the same pattern of occasional weather fronts bringing some rain, but often dry.

Often cloudy but sometimes sunny, overnight fog possible. The one detail I’m most confident on is it being mild or very mild, with a southerly flow from Africa so I wouldn’t be surprised to see 17’C reached at some point next week, though broadly around 14’C.

No strong signals for the latter half of November, perhaps some coldish weather for a short spell, though likely to balance out as milder than normal overall. And otherwise fairly mixed, some dry spells, some rain at times.

Have a good end to the week.…

Sunday 2nd November 2025

Fairly unsettled but generally mild/very mild is the theme.

Thanks to Lucinda for the photograph.

The general synoptics see us in a westerly flow, a pretty standard autumnal pattern.

Today (Sunday) will be a reasonable day though, plenty of sunshine, some fair weather cloud, a small chance of a stray shower in the early afternoon period. Around 12’C and breezy. A little chilly at first tonight, down to around 6’C though temperatures lifting in the second half of the night as cloud thickens, with some patchy rain.

Monday morning will be fairly cloudy, some bright spells, perhaps a bit of patchy rain at times. Probably somewhat sunnier in the afternoon. Mild, 15’C, maybe 16’C – generally quite windy. Fairly cloudy overnight, some bits of light rain possible – around 13’C.

Tuesday looks fairly cloudy again, some bits of light rain possible at times, some brightness too. More general showery rain might spread up from the south-west in the afternoon, though uncertain – the track looks slightly more likely to be further to our west as it stands. Still mild, 15’C, maybe 16’C and generally quite windy. Generally cloudy and mild overnight, some bits of rain possible – around 14’C.

More of the same for Wednesday, plenty of cloud but some brightness possible – likewise some showery rain possible, though again uncertain on the track, and more likely focused further west of us. Very mild, 16’C – perhaps a little more thanks to the injection of tropical air via ex-Hurricane Melissa. Cloudy and mild overnight, probably some showery rain – but again details uncertain. Around 14’C.

Lower confidence by Thursday, low pressure still around so further showers possible.

By Friday, I think we’ll start to see high pressure over the continent trying to put a stop to the westerly flow.

Quite a messy picture of neither high pressure or low pressure really having control for Friday and into next weekend – probably at least one weather front will cross during this period with some rain, then otherwise a mixture of cloudy spells and sunny spells, with temperatures roughly around 12’C or so.

Probably we’ll see high pressure having more influence over our weather for the second half of November, though it’s not a very strong signal.

Have a pleasant Sunday.…

Monday 30th October 2025

Unsettled but mild is the theme.

Thanks again to Tracy for the photograph.

The general set-up sees low pressure to the west taking control – it’s going to head towards Iceland but it will keep sending weather fronts our way.

Thursday starts bright with some sunny spells. Cloud will thicken from the west this morning, the first weather front will cross this afternoon but little in the way of rain, occasional patchy light rain at most – it may even stay dry with some bright spells. Around 13’C. The weather front arrives around late evening and will bring a few hours of showery rain, some heavy bursts possible. Still around 13’C and quite windy.

Friday is a mostly cloudy start to the day. Some showery rain will spread up from the south-west during the morning, heavy bursts possible. Some bright spells probable in the afternoon but further showers probable too, heavy, perhaps very heavy with a rumble of thunder. Generally a windy day, gusty in showers, but also milder – around 16’C. Further heavy, showery rain arriving mid/late evening, perhaps very heavy at times – again some strong gusts of wind possible. Drier towards dawn, though a shower still possible in the wind, around 11’C.

Saturday looks like a mixture of sunny spells and scattered showers, showers more likely lunchtime onwards, possibly heavy/very heavy with a rumble of thunder, though some uncertainty on how many develop – potentially your area could stay dry. Around 13’C, maybe 14’C and breezy – especially in the morning. Further heavy showers at time in the evening and overnight, and some cooler air in the mix again – down to around 7’C.

Sunday should actually be a reasonable day, perhaps still some cloud/showers first thing but mostly dry with sunny spells and variable cloud after that clears. Around 12’C and breezy. Cloudy overnight with some patchy rain at times – though the bulk will be further north.

By Monday the low pressure system is still towards Iceland, now re-enforced by ex-Melissa, which adds a bit more tropical energy but also potentially some more tropical air for us in a day or two.

Generally Monday will be a cloudy day, with some bits of showery rain but not much, and windy. Milder at around 15’C or so. Similar conditions overnight, no lower than around 12’C.

Tuesday looks broadly cloudy and windy as a weather front decays over us – perhaps some rain but quite uncertain on that. Milder, around 16’C.

Wednesday is uncertainty – broadly cloudy and windy would seem a reasonable bet for now, we might have some more tropical air over us so anything up to 18’C is feasible, though it could easily be 14’C which is mild but pretty ordinary.

High pressure building over Europe, which I’d suggest may be due to ex-Melissa, should keep weather fronts at bay to an extent after that – I think one or two will still get through, but generally more dry weather. And milder than normal seems likely.

Have a pleasant end to the week.…

Sunday 26th October 2025

A changeable but not too bad few days ahead – though likely wetter and windier later in the week and into next weekend.

Thanks to Louise for the photograph.

So we start the forecast period with low pressure to the east and a chilly northerly flow, though this will become more westerly over the next few days.

A sunny start to Sunday but cloud will increase from late morning onwards, with bits and pieces of mostly light rain during the afternoon and into early evening – though the odd heavy burst may be possible. Chilly for the time of year at 10’C and rather breezy. Still some bits of showery rain in the evening but this will clear south to leave clear spells overnight, down to around 8’C.

Monday looks a reasonable day, decent spells of sunshine, some cloud around – perhaps a shower or two through the early afternoon period. Windy in the morning, fading somewhat later, around 13’C. Mostly cloudy overnight – a weak weather front might give a bit of rain at times, but minimal amounts. Around 10’C and becoming quite windy again by dawn.

The overnight weather front might just hang on through sunrise on Tuesday, so a little showery rain possible if you are awake early enough, but this will quickly be replaced by sunny spells and fair weather cloud for the rest of the day. Around 14’C and breezy, perhaps quite windy in the morning. Cloud thickening overnight with rain possible later – but some uncertainty on the tracking of this. Around 10’C.

Some uncertainty for Wednesday as a weather front will be lying across England somewhere – arguably more likely across the south, which would mean outbreaks of rain at times during the day. But perhaps it’s further north, so a cloudy but dry day – at least until the weather front migrates south. Around 14’C – give or take.

By Thursday we see a new area of low pressure develop and head towards us.

Again uncertainty on timing – rain will spread across either during Thursday day or night – if the latter (more likely) then Thursday itself will be dry with hazy sunshine, and gradually clouding over. Again, roughly around 14’C.

For Friday and into the weekend it will be more unsettled, with several spells of rain likely, though if the rain comes overnight (no idea yet) then day time wouldn’t be too bad. And temperatures on the mild side, say around 15’C – though there remains a small chance of something pleasant and quite warm, though we’d need a bit of luck on timing.

Of course, if the bands of rain arrive during daytime hours, then, well, mild rain.

Generally quite windy too – a chance of strong winds at times, but not able to have any confidence on that at this stage.

For the first 7 to 10 days of November, it’s likely low pressure will often be on the scene – so expect more wind and rain. But also mild/very mild – an unusually warm day or two for the time of year could easily sneak in.

After that, more likely high pressure takes control – so becoming dry and settled once more, though I suspect often cloudy with overnight fog very possible.

Early thoughts for winter, at least December and January would be for it to be broadly cloudier and drier than normal, probably milder than normal overall too. Maybe more unsettled in February.

Have a pleasant Sunday.…

Thursday 23rd October 2025

A cooler and rather mixed spell of weather ahead, starting with Storm Benjamin (named by Météo France).

Thanks to Tracy for the photograph.

So we start with Storm Benjamin in control, which is crossing northern France, with another low pressure system wrapped up in the same circulation to the north-west of Scotland.

Thursday starts cloudy with some showery rain, the heaviest of which will have cleared by time you read this, but the odd heavy burst will still be possible – but mostly it’s light/moderate showery rain. It should brighten up to an extent around lunchtime, or just after – but further showers will arrive later in the afternoon and into the evening. The winds strong at times, in the morning and again later in the afternoon. Around 12’C – autumn is really kicking into gear. Clearing skies overnight, down to around 5’C – still on the breezy side.

Friday starts sunny if a little on the chilly side. Cloud will bubble up later in the morning with some showers around in the afternoon, perhaps heavy, though you could miss them all. Generally quite windy and on the cool side, around 12’C. Clear skies for the first part of the night though cloud and some patchy rain (not much) will spread down in the second half of the night. No lower than around 7’C and still quite windy.

Saturday will see a mixture of sunny spells and cloudy spells, perhaps an afternoon shower though it should be on the light/moderate side if you do catch one. Feeling pretty chilly for the time of year, 11’C at best in the northerly wind. Clear skies overnight – down to around 3’C though probably too breezy for a frost.

Sunday sees plenty of sunshine in the morning, cloud gradually building during the afternoon as the next weather system approaches. Still on the chilly side, 10’C, maybe 11’C, and still breezy. Outbreaks of rain arriving in the evening, often light but not always – clear skies by dawn and down to around 7’C.

By Monday we are still in this cooler, now north-westerly flow.

Details a little uncertain by this point, but broadly some cloudy spells, some sunny spells and some showers at times. Windy once more and around 12’C.

Tuesday is probably on the cloudier side of the spectrum, some bits of rain are possible – though a bit milder at around 14’C or so.

From then on, generally things are likely to be mild but changeable with some further spells of rain and wind – though too early to point out which days/times right now.

There is the potential to drag up some warmer, tropical air – so a day of 18’C or so would be possible around the end of the month, but it would need good timing and there to be some sunshine to feel the benefit…don’t be surprised if it is just mild rain instead.

Probably remaining changeable/unsettled for at least the first week of November – drier conditions more likely after that.…

Wednesday 22nd October 2025 – Rain Update

I previously left a bit of uncertainty for today – the day will be fine, some hazy sunshine and fair-weather cloud, perhaps a shower. Around 15’C.

Heavy rain arrives this evening, still some uncertainty on timings but no earlier than 6pm, and probably no later than 9pm.

Rain continuing on and off overnight and into at least the first half of Thursday, when the winds are likely to strengthen too – strong winds for tomorrow, a small chance of gale force but only a small chance.

Notably cooler for Friday and the weekend, perhaps warm for Halloween.

Full update on Thursday morning.…

Sunday 19th October 2025

Finally the weather is changing from incessant cloud…to rain. And then probably notably cooler next weekend.

Thanks to Tara for the photograph.

So the general set-up sees low pressure to the west trundling it’s way towards us – with the pattern change having been caused by an ex-typhoon off the coast of Japan a week or so ago, and the changes that caused to the jetstream.

Sunday starts cloudy, though some early brightness is possible. The main band of rain will arrive around 10/11am and rain will continue on and off until around mid-evening, sometimes light but some heavy bursts mixed in too. Quite windy and around 15’C. Skies clearing for a time overnight, though the odd heavy shower could push across. Around 12’C.

Monday will see lots of heavy showers, some very heavy, possibly merging into longer spells of rain, perhaps hail and/or thunder mixed in too. Definitely not boring. A few glimpses of sunshine but generally rather cloudy. Around 14’C and fairly gusty winds in the heavy showers. Mostly cloudy overnight, the showers will fade in the evening though the odd showery bit of rain will remain possible. Down to around 11’C.

Tuesday will be a more mixed day, quite a bit of cloud around – especially in the morning, but some sunny spells too. A few showers scattered around, possibly heavy, but possible your area misses what does develop. Around 15’C and breezy. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 8’C.

Wednesday will start bright and sunny. Gradually it will cloud over as the next low pressure system heads our way, though there is currently quite a lot of uncertainty on timing – rain could feasibly arrive as early as midday, or not until mid/late evening. Strong winds may develop – but again, this is uncertain and depends on how the low develops. Around 14’C.

Low pressure very much still in charge on Thursday.

Further spells of heavy rain or some heavy showers will be likely, though details uncertain and will remain so until the development of the low is sorted out. Probably cooler – around 12’C, with the chance of strong winds.

The more likely outcome for Friday would see sunny spells, variable cloud, scattered showers – and windy too. Around 12’C. Time to find my autumn clothes, I guess.

The more likely outcome for next weekend sees a flow either from the north or north-west, showers possible though less likely, sunshine probable at times, though no guarantee – sunshine more likely if we go northerly, less likely if it is north-westerly. And probably cooler too – around 10’C by day (give or take), and chilly by night.

Generally changeable conditions probably persist through the next week or two after that with a variety of autumnal weather conditions – probably drier in the second half of November, but don’t be surprised if we end up back with day after day of cloud by then.

Autumn is definitely stepping up a gear…and I don’t even have any holidays booked to escape it.…

Thursday 16th October 2025

A few more gloomy days to come, but all change from Sunday as rain arrives.

Thanks to Tara for the photograph.

The general picture sees high pressure remain in control, with low pressure in the Atlantic slowly creeping our way. The really interesting weather has been on the opposite side of the globe, where an ex-typhoon has strengthened the jetstream near Alaska with all the tropical energy, which a week later (this Sunday) will feel its effects on the UK as the jetstream then brings rain to us.

There’s a really interesting Met Office deep dive in YouTube from yesterday if you want to know more.

So onto today and generally it will be cloudy, though there is more scope for some sunny spells than there has been, more likely this morning and again late in the day, but assume lots of cloud otherwise. The odd bit of drizzle possible at times. Around 15’C. Mostly cloudy overnight though a few clear spells possible, down to around 9’C.

Friday likely starts cloudy and possibly misty – or even foggy if you had some clear spells overnight. Generally cloudy though it could break up at times in the morning to bring some bright/sunny spells. The odd bit of drizzle possible at times. Around 15’C. Mostly cloudy overnight, down to around 9’C.

Saturday morning will see some cloud but also some hazy sunshine. Cloud will gradually thicken during the day as low pressure approaches. Around 15’C. Cloudy overnight with patchy rain arriving before dawn, becoming breezy too. Down to around 12’C.

Sunday sees outbreaks of rain crossing during the morning, some heavy bursts, likely continuing into early afternoon though some uncertainty on exact timings right now. Once it clears, some cloud still, though some sunny breaks and the odd shower possible. Around 15’C or so, quite windy for a time during the rain. Clear spells overnight though a shower or two will be possible, around 11’C.

By Monday, low pressure is centred over Ireland.

Monday will be a day of limited sunny spells and lots of heavy showers, perhaps merging into longer spells of rain at times. At least it won’t be boring. Quite windy with temperatures around 15’C again. Showers fading overnight, down to around 10’C.

Low pressure clearing away on Tuesday, so a mixture of sunny spells, variable amounts of cloud and a few showers around – though much less than on Monday, and perhaps you’ll miss them all. Around 15’C and still breezy.

Wednesday is uncertain – a further spell of rain will be heading our way, but maybe it actually tracks to the south and we stay mostly dry, or maybe we have a wet day.

Details uncertain after that (well…uncertain after Tuesday) but broadly speaking low pressure will remain in charge with spells of rain or showers at times, and often breezy/quite windy. Temperatures roughly around 14’C.

Some hints of a short cooler spell either next weekend or early the week after, though low confidence on that aspect.

Probably remaining changeable for a while, though fairly strong signals (considering how far away it is) of high pressure building by mid-November.

Enjoy the end of the week and the weekend. Bring on the rain?!…

Sunday 12th October 2025

Boring weather. Unless you enjoy cloud.

Thanks to Philippa for the photograph.

So we start the forecast period with high pressure centred over the UK (would be hot if it were summer!) and it isn’t going anywhere fast.

Sunday starts with mist/fog or low cloud. It should break up into sunny spells, but likely taking a while. Once it does there will be good sunny spells for most of the day, perhaps cloudy by dusk. Around 16’C. Cloud spreading across from the east in the evening and overnight, perhaps a bit of light rain/drizzle at times, and around 13’C.

Monday will be mostly cloudy, the odd spot of light rain/drizzle at times, a few glimpses of sunshine at times. Around 17’C. Mostly cloudy overnight, again the odd spot of drizzle at times, around 13’C.

Tuesday looks cloudy with bits of light rain/drizzle at times. Perhaps a bit more in the way of bright/sunny spells by the end of the day. Around 16’C. Fairly cloudy overnight though a few clear spells, down to around 10’C.

Wednesday will be mostly cloudy though probably a bit of sunshine at times. Light showers possible. Around 15’C. Fairly cloudy overnight, though some clear spells – down to 9’C or so.

Thursday should again be rather cloudy though a bit more in the way of sunny spells (also less confidence on details overall). Around 15’C. Fairly cloudy overnight, some clear spells, down to around 9’C or so./

Hints of change by Friday in the models as high pressure starts to drift north-westwards, though not really much change on the ground yet.

More likely Friday remains on the cloudier side of the spectrum, though with some sunny spells – and around 15’C.

Saturday probably still something similar, something broadly on the cloudier side of the spectrum, though lower confidence – and roughly around 15’C.

Sunday might see low pressure break through, or at least squeeze under the high pressure, which would bring a spell of rain if it does. However, pretty low confidence right now – we could still get something cooler from the north instead (though sunnier), or maybe the cloudy high hangs on a little more.

Probably it becomes unsettled before the end of the month, more likely than not by the middle of the week after next (circa 23rd October) but how we get there remains in question.

Have a good Sunday.…