Finally the weather is changing from incessant cloud…to rain. And then probably notably cooler next weekend.

Thanks to Tara for the photograph.

So the general set-up sees low pressure to the west trundling it’s way towards us – with the pattern change having been caused by an ex-typhoon off the coast of Japan a week or so ago, and the changes that caused to the jetstream.

Sunday starts cloudy, though some early brightness is possible. The main band of rain will arrive around 10/11am and rain will continue on and off until around mid-evening, sometimes light but some heavy bursts mixed in too. Quite windy and around 15’C. Skies clearing for a time overnight, though the odd heavy shower could push across. Around 12’C.

Monday will see lots of heavy showers, some very heavy, possibly merging into longer spells of rain, perhaps hail and/or thunder mixed in too. Definitely not boring. A few glimpses of sunshine but generally rather cloudy. Around 14’C and fairly gusty winds in the heavy showers. Mostly cloudy overnight, the showers will fade in the evening though the odd showery bit of rain will remain possible. Down to around 11’C.

Tuesday will be a more mixed day, quite a bit of cloud around – especially in the morning, but some sunny spells too. A few showers scattered around, possibly heavy, but possible your area misses what does develop. Around 15’C and breezy. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 8’C.

Wednesday will start bright and sunny. Gradually it will cloud over as the next low pressure system heads our way, though there is currently quite a lot of uncertainty on timing – rain could feasibly arrive as early as midday, or not until mid/late evening. Strong winds may develop – but again, this is uncertain and depends on how the low develops. Around 14’C.

Low pressure very much still in charge on Thursday.

Further spells of heavy rain or some heavy showers will be likely, though details uncertain and will remain so until the development of the low is sorted out. Probably cooler – around 12’C, with the chance of strong winds.

The more likely outcome for Friday would see sunny spells, variable cloud, scattered showers – and windy too. Around 12’C. Time to find my autumn clothes, I guess.

The more likely outcome for next weekend sees a flow either from the north or north-west, showers possible though less likely, sunshine probable at times, though no guarantee – sunshine more likely if we go northerly, less likely if it is north-westerly. And probably cooler too – around 10’C by day (give or take), and chilly by night.

Generally changeable conditions probably persist through the next week or two after that with a variety of autumnal weather conditions – probably drier in the second half of November, but don’t be surprised if we end up back with day after day of cloud by then.

Autumn is definitely stepping up a gear…and I don’t even have any holidays booked to escape it.