Weather Forecast For Reading & Berkshire

More sunshine to come this week, but some thundery downpours around today, and some cloud on other days.

Thanks to Tara for the photograph.

We start the week with high pressure to our west and also to our east – but this slack low pressure has spread up from Spain/Portugal – it will spin back on itself and head back into the Atlantic Ocean after today though.

Monday starts with a mixture of cloud and sunny spells, perhaps the odd sprinkling of rain here and there. From late morning onwards, thundery downpours will develop – not everywhere seeing them, some spots will stay dry, but likewise you could catch a few of them during the course of the afternoon, say a 60% chance of catching at least a couple. Downpours could be notable – there are Met Office weather warnings out. Warm and a little humid, around 22’C, perhaps up to 24’C if you miss the showers. Showers will quickly fade in the evening, fairly clear skies overnight, down to around 11’C.

Tuesday starts sunny. Cloud will bubble up again with around a 50% chance of a heavy/very heavy shower, perhaps with thunder. There will be fewer showers than on Monday overall, but the focus area for them will be further south – on Monday the midland is more likely. Otherwise a reasonable amount of sunshine, and very warm, reaching around 25’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 9’C.

Wednesday is back to glorious sunshine all day, little if any cloud – warm, around 23’C. Clear skies at first overnight – probably some low cloud spreading in from the North Sea towards dawn, but uncertain. Down to around 7’C.

Some uncertainty for Thursday, there is a good chance of North Sea cloud having spread across, so more likely we’ll have cloud for a fair portion of the day, perhaps all day. A smaller chance instead of little to no cloud. Temperatures depending on how much cloud there is, closer to 17’C if more cloudy, closer to 21’C otherwise. A good chance of more cloud overnight, but uncertain. Down to around 7’C.

So the set-up for Friday sees high pressure to the north, and an easterly flow – which will continue through the weekend.

Too early to be totally confident on cloud amounts – so forecasts could change nearer the time, but it will stay dry.

So the more likely outcome for Friday is back to something sunnier, though perhaps some low cloud at first. Around 20’C in the easterly breeze. Down to around 8’C overnight.

Similar uncertainty on cloud amounts for Saturday, probably on the sunnier side of the spectrum, but certainly chances of cloud at times, especially in the morning. Around 20’C.

Same story for Sunday really.

More likely next week stays warm with sunshine at times, though I suspect the shower chance may increase a little.

Fairly consistent signal now for a pattern change around the end of the month, a probably short unsettled/changeable spell around the end of May/beginning of June, with high pressure then more likely to build in from the south-west in June, instead of the north as it currently is.

Temperatures generally remaining warm.

Have a pleasant week.…

Warming up notably once more and often sunny. But there will be chances of thundery showers Sunday onwards.

Thanks to Fiona for the photograph.

The general picture sees high pressure remain in control, low pressure far to our north-west, and also a flabby low over Spain/France which will organise somewhat and head closer to us by Sunday/Monday.

Early mist/low cloud will lift quickly on Friday to leave a mostly sunny day, a bit of fair-weather cloud at times. The breeze more easterly and light, so temperatures up a bit to around 19’C. Mostly clear skies overnight though a chance of some mist/low cloud by dawn. Down to around 8’C.

Again any early mist/low cloud quickly clearing on Saturday to leave good spells of sunshine, some cloud bubbling up but plenty of sunshine all day. Warm, 22’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, though some high cloud later, down to around 10’C.

Uncertainty increases for Sunday as the aforementioned shallow low pressure heads north. Most likely it stays dry all day with sunny spells, though sometimes quite hazy. Very warm, around 25’C – maybe a little more. However, there is a chance of a heavy shower breaking out in the afternoon, or perhaps (unlikely but possible) some general showery rain developing – if general rain does develop it should be to our west, but the chance is there. Some cloud overnight and a small chance of a shower or some bits of showery rain – more likely it stays dry. Around 13’C.

Monday is uncertain, but more likely we’ll see some very warm hazy sunshine, perhaps quite humid too – but also some heavy, thundery downpours are likely to break out somewhere over the southern part of Britain, and this area more likely than others. Say a 70% chance of at least some showers, though plausible there is repeated heavy showers/downpours or even general rain developing. Temperatures very dependent on sunshine amounts and how quickly showers break out (assuming they do), anywhere between 20’C and 27’C – the upper part of the scale more likely. Showers fade in the evening, mostly clear skies overnight, down down to around 10’C.

High pressure starts to re-establish itself on Tuesday, the low hangs around for another day though.

Plenty of sunshine to start Tuesday, again cloud will bubble up with some heavy showers, perhaps thundery, breaking out – say a 60% chance of catching a couple. Very warm once more, around 25’C. Clear skies likely overnight, down to around 10’C.

Wednesday sees high pressure back in control. Good spells of sunshine likely with some cloud – an easterly breeze so always a chance of importing some North Sea cloud, at least overnight and for the mornings, but too early to be sure, it seems sunshine more likely as it stands. Assuming a mostly sunny day, then warm again around 22’C.

Thursday and Friday will remain dry, though some uncertainty as to whether we’ll import any North Sea cloud overnight. More likely at least a good portion of each day will be sunny, and temperatures around the 19’C to 21’C range more likely.

Most likely warm and sunny next weekend too, perhaps even very warm/quite hot once more.

What have we done to deserve this all this great weather (great in my opinion, anyway)?!

Yes, it can continue, I see no reason to move away from mostly warm/very warm weather for most of May and June, though there are hints of something a little changeable around the end of May/beginning of June, though with high pressure re-establishing in June after a short changeable spell…perhaps from the south, allowing Spain to finally dry out.

Also a chance of the odd thundery incursion before the end of May.

Enjoy your weekend!…

High pressure still in control, though positioned to allow a cooler north-easterly flow, for now.

Thanks to Chris for the photograph.

We start the week with high pressure located just to the west of Scotland, but that means a chilly north-easterly breeze.

Monday sees lots of cloud around, you might even catch a shower though the middle part of the day, small chances anyway. A bit of sunshine at times, more so later in the day but still plenty of cloud. Around 14’C or so. Reasonably clear skies overnight, though some cloud – down to around 3’C.

Tuesday starts with some sunny spells, some cloud. Generally becoming more overcast for the afternoon, perhaps earlier – temperatures reaching around 14’C or so, perhaps a little more if sunshine amounts surprise. The cool north-easterly breeze persisting. Fairly cloudy overnight though the low cloud being replaced by high cloud – down to around 4’C.

Wednesday looks mostly cloudy once more, though the cloud thin enough for hazy sunshine to poke through at times, more likely in the morning. We’ll still have the north-easterly breeze, and temperatures reaching around 15’C, give or take. A fair amount of cloud overnight, perhaps even a spot of light rain, down to around 7’C.

Subtle changes by Thursday as the high shifts around a bit, and the breeze becomes more easterly. Still likely a lot of cloud around, especially during the lunchtime period, but more sunny spells than the previous two days – especially later in the day. A little warmer, around 17’C or so. Probably clear skies overnight, down to around 6’C.

Similar set-up for Friday, high pressure centred over the north of Scotland with an easterly flow.

Probably good spells of sunshine by this stage, some fair-weather cloud especially around lunchtime. Reaching around 18’C so quite warm, maybe a tad more. Clear skies overnight, down to around 6’C.

Saturday looks very pleasant, good spells of sunshine, a little bit of cloud. Temperatures around 18’C, perhaps scraping a 20’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 7’C.

Most likely Sunday remains fairly sunny, some cloud more likely to bubble up and a very small chance of an afternoon shower. Around 20’C, give or take.

The more likely outcome for next week is that high pressure stays in control, with more sunshine and temperatures broadly in the range of 17’C to 22’C, depending on exact positioning of high pressure.

There is a small chance instead that low pressure over Spain/France moves north and we end up more showery – but I do feel most likely this showery regime remains over the Mediterranean at least for another week or two.

Maybe some showers for us later in the month.

Have a pleasant week.…

A hot end to the week but becoming much cooler as the bank holiday weekend progresses. Some showers, but mostly fair.

Thanks to Becky for the photograph – you can just about see the blue sky!

So the general picture sees high pressure remain in control, though our weather is arguably more influenced by low pressure to the west of Spain/Portugal, which is dragging up the hotter upper air from Africa. Low pressure towards Iceland will then take over as the weekend goes on, dragging cooler air south.

Hazy sunshine is the theme for today, long spells of sunshine but often enough high cloud to make it rather hazy, and a bit of fair-weather cloud bubbling up this afternoon too. A very small chance of a heavy shower breaking out, say 5% chance. Hot in the southerly breeze, we will reach 28’C, maybe 29’C – a chance even of 30’C, which I believe would be the earliest 30’C recorded in a year by 11 days. Mostly clear skies overnight, some high cloud though, around 14’C. A very small chance of a shower.

We mostly hang on to the sunshine and warmth on Friday, long spells of sometimes-hazy sunshine, some fair-weather cloud bubbling up in the afternoon. A very small chance of a heavy shower breaking out, but otherwise still very warm, around 25’C, give or take, though the breeze now more northerly. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 9’C.

Saturday continues very pleasant, further sunny spells though notably lower temperatures, say around 21’C. There will be a weather front trying to push north, which may introduce more cloud in the afternoon, but any rain should stay to our south. Mostly clear skies overnight though rather chilly – down to 5’C.

By Sunday we see high pressure to our north-west with a northerly breeze. Quite a vibe change.

Sunny spells to start the day on Sunday, but some cloud will develop and push in – uncertain as to the extent, a completely cloudy afternoon is plausible, though more likely in a mixture of sunny and cloudy spells. Temperatures somewhere between 12’C and 17’C, depending on cloud amounts. A mixture of clear skies and cloudier spells overnight, down to around 5’C.

Bank Holiday Monday probably will be much cloudier, perhaps a light shower – and assuming a lack of sunshine then temperatures around 13’C, and feeling cool in the northerly breeze. A chilly night likely.

For the rest of next week, high pressure likely remains in control though something on the cloudier and cooler side of things is the more likely outcome, say 12’C to 14’C – though by no meals certain at this stage.

Most likely high pressure is still in charge for next weekend, and early suggestions are that it might be back in a more favourable position for more sunshine and somewhat warmer weather, if perhaps 15’C to 20’C level of warmth, as opposed to what we have now.

Later in May still seems more likely warmer but with an increased chance of afternoon showers. Long way away, of course.

Enjoy the bank holiday weekend!…

Hello from slightly sunny Sarajevo! No such “slightness” in the UK, with more glorious and very warm/quite hot sunshine expected.

No photographs, so you’ll have to have one of mine – of the nearby hills of Sarajevo and the peak amount of blue I’ve seen so far (until this morning, anyway).

We start the week with high pressure in control, and a slack southerly flow.

Hazy sunshine to start Monday, the high cloud will gradually thin though some fair-weather cloud will be knocking around too – but a very pleasant day. Warm, around 22’C. Some high cloud overnight, down to around 8’C.

Some high cloud at first on Tuesday, but generally a sunny day. Very warm, around 24’C or so. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 10’C.

Wednesday will see long spells of sunshine, a little high cloud. Verging on quite hot, around 26’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 11’C.

A little more uncertainty creeps in on Thursday, depending the exact wind direction, but mostly it will be sunny and at least quite hot. Temperatures around 27’C to 28’C more likely, but I wouldn’t rule out a 30’C if the stars align. However, there will be a bit of cloud bubbling up and maybe there is a 5% chance of a heavy shower breaking out later in the afternoon. A mild night, around 14’C.

By Friday our high pressure is just about hanging on, though low pressure is trying to head down from the north-west, and likewise the low to the west of Spain/Portugal will be attempting to move north.

Some uncertainty but more likely on the cloudier side of the spectrum, though some sunny spells at least probable. A small chance of a heavy shower. Temperatures somewhere between 20’C and 26’C, depending on sunshine amounts.

A LOT of uncertainty for the weekend – it really could be anything.

This is because of the aforementioned squeeze of our high pressure both from cooler air trying to spread south, and the thundery low to the west of Spain/Portugal trying to head north.

My best guess at the moment is that Saturday remains on the warm side – I certainly wouldn’t want to promise dry and/or sunny, though that would be more likely than wet/cloudy.

Chances of rain/downpours are higher on Sunday and Monday, but still say no more than a 30-40% chance. Temperatures likely cooler, say 14’C to 19’C, depending on sunshine amounts.

Right, it’s time to go walk up at least part of a mountain – hoping to make it to the old bobsleigh track from the Sarajevo 1984 Olympics.

Have a pleasant week, I will try to do the next forecast on Thursday morning, hopefully the models have a bit more clarity by then.…

Warming up!

Thanks to Clare for the photograph.

So we start the forecast period with high pressure building between here and Scandinavia, with the Azores high also trying to move in. Nice.

Patchy mist/fog/low cloud in some places, sunshine in others to start the day – tending to become sunnier for the cloudy spots for a while this morning but then clouding over generally for all before lunchtime. Still bright with some hazy sunshine, reaching around 16’C or so – with more sunshine for the evening. Mostly cloudy overnight as a weather front struggles to push east – perhaps a splash of rain later in the night, around 8’C.

Saturday is a bit of a mish-mash, as we’ll have this weather front over us whilst high pressure is building. A lot of cloud around but there will be hazy sunshine at times. Some showery bits of rain possible, perhaps a heavy shower later in the day, but very easily you stay dry in your location. A bit warmer, 18’C. Cloud gradually thinning overnight, though mist/fog patches may develop by dawn, down to around 6’C.

Sunday sees early mist/fog patches but they will lift quickly into sunny spells. Likely quite a lot of fair-weather cloud around from lunchtime onwards, probably more cloud than sun, but still sunny spells and warmer too – 21’C is plausible. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 7’C – a small chance of mist/fog patches by dawn.

By Monday we see high pressure over a good chunk of northern and western Europe, though with low pressure tracking towards the west of Spain/Portugal, which will then act as a heat pump.

Monday itself will be fine, any early mist/fog patches will quickly lift into good spells of sunshine. Again some high cloud possible and more so some fair-weather cloud in the afternoon. Warm, around 22’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 6’C.

Tuesday sees good spells of sunshine all day – just a little bit of cloud. Warm, how much will depend on the exact wind direction, probably closer to 22’C but I wouldn’t rule out anything up to 25’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, around 9’C.

Uncertainty starts to increase for Wednesday, but it will stay fine and dry, very likely it remains mostly sunny, and more likely very warm, say somewhere between 23’C and 26’C. A small chance instead of more of an easterly flow, a bit more cloud but still very pleasant and around 22’C.

Thursday almost definitely remains sunny or mostly so, and more likely remains very warm, if not quite hot – somewhere between 23’C and 27’C. Well, it will be the 1st of May.

Can it last for the bank holiday weekend?

Probably not, though spring so far has been one of upgrades to expectations.

The somewhat more likely outcome as it stands is cooler air spreading down from the north, so temperatures closer to say 13’C to 17’C. But also dry or mostly dry conditions look more likely, sunshine/cloud amounts uncertain.

However, I’d still rate it around a 35% chance that the sunshine and warmth can hang on instead.

A washout bank holiday looks unlikely…low pressure doesn’t seem to be keen on hanging around the UK at the moment.

If you want heat, it could well be proper scorchio (for the time of year) around the Balearics, eastern Spain, southern France, western Italy – that kind of region.

Enjoy your weekend.…

I hope you’ve all had a pleasant Easter weekend – a fairly mixed week of weather ahead though nothing too bad.

Thanks to Fiona for the photograph.

My new website is now live, I’m sure there will be a few teething issues so if you find anything please do let me know.

We start the week with low pressure to our west – it will cross the UK but it isn’t especially potent. Otherwise not a lot is really happening across Europe.

So Easter Monday starts fairly cloudy. Some bright spells, the odd spot of rain possible too. Early-mid afternoon sees a band of rain cross, probably not that much in the way of rain and only for a couple of hours – brighter to finish the day, though a heavy shower will be possible. Around 15’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 6’C.

Tuesday starts mostly sunny. Quite a lot of fair-weather cloud will bubble up, a 30% chance of a shower but otherwise a reasonable day with some sunny spells. Around 17’C. Clear spells at first overnight, but cloud will thicken with rain arriving around midnight, give or take, for a few hours. Quite windy whilst raining. It should be dry by dawn. Around 9’C.

Wednesday looks a fairly cloudy day with low pressure overhead. The main band of rain likely has cleared east but it will leave an overhang where showers will easily develop – so a lot of cloud, plenty of showers and a bit of sunshine is the more likely outcome. Around 15’C – give or take. Quite breezy too. Likely rather cloudy overnight, around 8’C.

Thursday is more likely on the cloudy side – some sunny spells possible. Around 15’C – probably dry but a light shower not out of the question. Cloud tending to thin overnight, down to around 4’C.

By Friday high pressure is trying to develop over the UK, though low pressure to our west is trying to needle it’s way in too.

Weather fronts should be far enough to our west for a pleasant day with some hazy sunshine – though it’s a fairly close call at this stage. Say 80% likely we’ll see a day of hazy sunshine, 20% that instead we see some patchy rain. Around 16’C – give or take. Probably cloudy overnight, perhaps some rain as the weather front keeps trying to push east.

Low confidence for Saturday, but more likely on the cloudier side of the spectrum with a bit of patchy rain. Some sunshine certainly possible – and broadly around 15’C, give or take.

A bit more hope for sunshine and something a tad warmer on Sunday – again low confidence, but the more likely outcome. Say sunny spells and 18’C more likely.

Early signs for next week are for something warmer and sunnier, though a risk of a heavy shower or two at times.…

It’s Fake Friday, and the weather doesn’t look too bad for the weekend, some rain/showers, some cloud but also some sunshine. Perhaps a slight upgrade on what I was previously expecting.

Speaking of upgrades, for those that use the website there might be some downtime this weekend, as I’m migrating to a newly re-built site. You won’t see much difference, the design is the same – but the new version is built in languages I use in my day-to-day work (TypeScript instead of PHP) so I can extend it easily, and build new features…maybe. It’s what I do to have fun.

Thanks to Suzanne for the photograph.

So the general picture sees various areas of low pressure around, but none close enough to impact our weather right now.

Thursday will start sunny. Fair-weather cloud will bubble up, with a 20% chance of a shower – but always some sunny spells too. Around 17’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, though some high cloud later, down to around 6’C.

Good Friday starts with hazy sunshine. Rain will be edging east very slowly and haphazardly, some uncertainty as to when (perhaps if) it arrives. At worst, it will arrive any time from around midday, patchy and light/moderate – not much in the way of rain. More likely it arrives in the evening – still patchy and light/moderate. A small chance that it never quite gets here at all, and stays to our west. Somewhere between 15’C and 17’C depending on when the rain arrives. Showery rain probable overnight, no lower than around 10’C.

Saturday maybe sees some showery rain still in the morning, but the low pressure is spinning back on itself, and the rain will head back west. A lot of cloud around for much of the day but it will get brighter in the afternoon, and maybe outright sunny by the end of the day. Around 15’C. A fair amount of cloud overnight, a small chance of a shower, down to around 6’C.

By Sunday low pressure will be taking a more southerly track over France – we are definitely getting lucky this weekend!

Easter Sunday will be a bit mixed, a fair amount of cloud around and a chance of a shower or two, say a 50% chance. But also some sunshine or hazy sunshine at times. Around 16’C – give or take, depending on sunshine amounts. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 6’C.

Easter Monday has a bit more uncertainty as the models are already notably different by this point (the spin-back of the weekend’s low is difficult for models to handle), but broadly similar weather should ensue. Some sunshine or hazy sunshine at times, quite a lot of cloud and a fair chance of a couple of showers – say around a 60% chance. Plausible that actually we have quite frequent and heavy showers – but more likely just a couple, if that. Temperatures could be anywhere from 14’C to 19’C.

Likewise for Tuesday not especially high confidence, but broadly sunny spells and scattered showers – temperatures more likely a little cooler, say 13’C to 15’C kind of range.

Still a chance of showers on Wednesday, but otherwise mixed, some cloud some sunny spells. Around 16’C or so.

A trend back to something more settled as high pressure builds is the more likely outcome from there.

Uncertain on sunshine and cloud amounts, along with wind direction – I wouldn’t be hugely surprised if it was cooler and cloudier, but exceptionally low confidence on anything other than dry being more likely.

High pressure still likely around for early May, and more likely to be in a position conducive for warmth and sunshine.

No strong signals for after that – warmish and mixed, some pleasant weather, some showery days seems more likely.

Early suggestions for June/July have high pressure focused over Scandinavia (delayed SSW impact?!), which would mean very warm/hot spells more likely than normal, but also low pressure probably would be close by to our west quite often – so downpours and thunderstorms more likely than normal too.

If both June and July were much warmer but also much wetter than normal (at least in terms of total rainfall amounts), with around normal amounts of sunshine, that would be a reasonable guide right now.

Maybe June has the stronger signal for downpours than July.

Obviously June/July are a long way away, and things do change. It wouldn’t take a huge change from current expectations for both to be glorious but heatwave kind of months…nor would it take a huge change for them to be kind of a washout.

Enjoy your Easter break, for those that do get some time off!…

Low pressure is back, though it isn’t an especially wet outlook – and there will be some pleasant sunny days too. Did we really just have 3 weeks of pretty much unbroken sunshine? Was it even 4 weeks? I lost count.

No photographs so you’ll have to contend with one of mine, from Notting Hill.

The general set-up sees low pressure taking over, the main area currently towards Iceland, with a cut-off low in part of the same system, just to the north-west of Spain – and heading our way for Tuesday.

Today isn’t too bad, a mostly sunny start (one or two stray fog patches) but quickly clouding over. A few showers around in the morning and early afternoon, they should be light/moderate in nature, and a bit of brightness at times. Around 14’C in south-westerly breeze. Cloudy overnight with some occasional rain, no lower than around 10’C.

Tuesday may start with some rain, the timing of the overnight rain is quite uncertain. Otherwise quite cloudy but with some sunny spells – showers will develop, likely heavy, possibly very heavy and/or thundery, and perhaps turning into general rain by the end of the day, though that aspect is uncertain. Quite warm and a little humid, around 17’C. Worth stressing a fair dollop of uncertainty for Tuesday. Rain/showers gradually clearing north and west overnight, and likely dry for much of the night – though some uncertainty again. Down to around 6’C.

Wednesday more likely starts sunny, though there might still be some cloud around from Tuesday’s low pressure system. Either way there should be good spells of sunshine for most of the rest of the day, reaching around 15’C. Clear skies and a chilly night likely, down to around 2’C.

Thursday looks a reasonable day too. Sunny spells, some fair-weather cloud bubbling up, and a 40% chance of a shower or two, but nothing especially heavy if you do catch one. Around 17’C or so and feeling quite warm again. Clear spells for much of the night, though tending to cloud over later. Down to around 3’C.

Good Friday sees the next low pressure system move in – though there is some uncertainty as to how it behaves, and hence how much (or how little) rain we receive.

A mostly cloudy day with some rain at times – but the rain tending to be on the light and patchy side, perhaps more moderate at times. Around 14’C, give or take.

Very low confidence for Saturday, but the current suggestion is that low pressure spins back on itself and heads back west, before heading south. It’s an unusual movement, but assuming the models are right (and my reading of them) this would lead to a reasonably sunny day, with temperatures around 16’C.

Less likely outcomes would be for something cloudier, cooler and showery instead.

Easter Sunday is likewise uncertain, I’d suggest a mixture of sunny spells and cloudier spells is more likely, with a chance of a shower or two, and around 15’C. A wet day is unlikely.

I’m pretty much guessing for Easter Monday as the models are all over the place, dry more likely than wet, sunny/cloudy/mixed roughly as likely as each other, quite warm slightly more likely than quite cool.

I’ll try and do the next forecast on Thursday morning – it will take another couple of days for the Easter forecast to firm up, though I think we are almost there for Friday’s forecast – it is the days after which are uncertain.

Still expecting a return to sunshine and warmth for later in the month.…

Two more very pleasant days, then low pressure is back for a while.

Thanks to Chickena for the glorious photograph.

We start with high pressure in charge, but it is being squeezed by low pressure towards Portugal which will push north, and low pressure to the west of Iceland which will move south-east – and the latter will become our dominant feature.

Friday will see long spells of sunshine all day, once any stray patches of low cloud/mist have cleared. A little high cloud but mostly sunshine. Warm, 22’C should be reached, or close to. Clear skies overnight, down to around 5’C.

Saturday starts sunny. Some high cloud will spread from the south during the morning, and gradually skies will get hazier – but still very pleasant. Again it will be warm, 22’C feels realistic once more. Fairly cloudy in the evening and overnight, one or two scattered and possibly heavy showers around in the evening and first part of the night. Down to around 10’C.

What a glorious run of weather that was.

Sunday won’t actually be that bad, quite cloudy in the morning, maybe one or two light/moderate showers, tending to be somewhat sunnier in the afternoon, with some cloud. 17’C still feasible. Fairly cloudy at first overnight, more in the way of clear spells later – a stray shower possible, down to around 6’C.

By Monday, low pressure continues its encroachment.

Sunny spells and scattered showers is the theme – some uncertainty on the distribution of showers and they may well be focused to the west of us, in which case we’ll stay dry with some sunny spells, some cloud – but I’d say around a 40% chance of at least a couple of showers. Reaching around 16’C, give or take. Fairly cloudy overnight, perhaps some rain later.

Tuesday is uncertain. It looks like a plume of rain will develop and spread north, but whether it will cross over the UK and bring a wet spell is uncertain, say a 60% chance it will. And then a 40% chance that it is to the east of the UK instead, and we stay with some sunny spells.

The more likely outcome for Wednesday is sunny spells, some cloud, and some showers. More likely temperatures lower, say around 13’C. Not especially high confidence – there is a small chance of a spell of rain instead. Probably quite chilly overnight.

Again not especially high confidence for Thursday, but more likely a dry or mostly dry day, some cloud, some sunshine, a small chance of a shower – and around 13’C.

A chance of rain either overnight or Good Friday, though again uncertainty quite high on this.

A showery theme looks more likely for Easter, though that would mean some sunshine at times.

A washout looks unlikely – any more than one day of rain seems unlikely. Likewise a return to glorious sunshine for the whole weekend looks unlikely, but there could indeed be some sunny and warmish weather.

So expect something mixed.

Suggestions remain for a return to warmer and sunnier weather for the end of April and beginning of May.

A mixed May looks more likely, often warm – especially later in May, sometimes showery – also more likely later in May.

Enjoy the rest of the sunshine.…