Warmer…at last. Not perfect, but a pleasant few days this weekend and something a bit more mixed next week – but definitely warmer.

Thanks to Paul for the photograph.

Some cloud this evening, fairly clear skies overnight, down to around 8’C. A small chance of fog forming in one or two spots towards dawn, but most places not.

Friday sees high pressure over the south of the UK, low pressure close to the north.

Warm with hazy sunshine, the high cloud gradually thickening as the day goes on, notably from mid-afternoon onwards as a weather front approaches from the north-west. Reaching around 21’C. That weather front bringing occasional bits of showery rain in the evening and overnight, though dry most of the time. No lower than 11’C.

Saturday likely starts cloudy, a little bit of rain still possible. Gradually by around late morning (give or take) sunshine amounts will start increasing, though still a small chance of a shower. Temperatures somewhere between 18’C and 20’C, depending on how quick the morning cloud breaks up. Variable cloud overnight, down to around 7’C.

Sunday morning sees hazy sunshine. Quite a lot of fair weather cloud bubbling up for early/mid afternoon, potentially quite overcast at the most cloudy point, but becoming sunnier later again. Reaching around 19’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, though some high cloud by dawn. A bit chillier, down to around 5’C.

Next week is a bit of a battle between an awakening Atlantic trying to bring low pressure systems across the UK, and much warmer air trying to spread up from the south. Both should influence our weather, but the warmer air from the south should be the greater influence.

Monday will be warm with hazy sunshine. Temperatures reaching around 21’C with a notable breeze. Fairly cloudy overnight, down to around 11’C.

Tuesday again looks warm with hazy sunshine – a small chance of a shower. A bit more uncertainty on temperatures, somewhere between 18’C and 22’C, though the upper bound more likely.

Uncertainty increases by Wednesday. We could be in a more westerly flow with fresher conditions, a few showers possible but some sunny spells and temperatures around 16’C to 18’C. Alternatively, the low pressure is further north and the warmth will be increasing, with temperatures between 22’C and 25’C. Both outcomes roughly as likely as each other.

Thursday is more uncertain. A small chance of a wet day, a slightly less small chance of another very warm day – but the somewhat more likely outcome sees fair conditions, a small chance of a shower and temperatures around 18’C to 20’C.

Friday has similar levels of uncertainty, but for next weekend there is more confidence of high pressure pushing up from the south, with temperatures perhaps looking towards the mid-20’s. Far from certain, other usual spring weather outcomes possible, but warm/very warm with sunny spells is the more likely outcome with more confidence that I would usually have this far out.

This may well hang on into the week after – though by the end of the month we should have something more changeable, still some short dry/sunny spells but also some showery spells too. Temperatures more likely on the warm side for most of it.

June I still expect to be warmer, sunnier and drier than normal.

The rest of summer? Hmmm. Mixed.…

A mixed week ahead, but warmer and with some scattered heavy showers.

Yes, it’s a rare morning forecast as I may have had too much fun yesterday and I really cannot see me having the energy for writing this this evening. Oops.

Thanks to Jo for the photograph.

Today is fairly cloudy but there will be some sunny breaks this afternoon. A small chance of a shower but most likely staying dry, reaching around 16’C. Fairly cloudy overnight, a few breaks in the cloudy and around 9’C.

The general picture for Tuesday sees high pressure trying to nudge in from the south-west, and low pressure trying to push in towards the north-west.

Fairly cloudy in the morning, some bright spells, the odd shower dotted around too. From roughly lunchtime onwards, there will be more in the way of sunny spells but plenty of cloud too – and a few heavy showers will break out, say a 40% chance of catching one or two. Reaching around 17’C. Generally fairly cloudy overnight, showers still possible in the evening and first part of the night – no lower than 10’C.

Wednesday starts rather cloudy but some brightness. Some sunny spells will develop but there will be plenty of heavy showers around – some places may miss them, but more likely you will catch a few. Heavy, possibly very heavy with a thunder and/or hail possible. Warmer, 19’C. Variable cloud overnight, down to around 8’C.

Thursday sees the high pressure creeping across the south, so we cut off the shower chance.

Likely a lot of high cloud, so hazy sunshine, and a fair amount of fair weather cloud bubbling up too – but a pretty pleasant way and warm too, 20’C seems feasible. Clear spells overnight, down to around 9’C.

Friday likely starts with hazy sunshine. A bit of uncertainty on details following, but more likely it becomes mostly cloudy for a spell before then becoming sunnier for a while. However a weak weather front does look like it will spread south at some point, perhaps during the day but more likely evening or overnight, bring a bit of rain. Around 19’C.

Saturday should see high pressure back in control, somewhere roughly over the UK or slightly to our west.

Some cloud, some sunshine, a small chance of a shower and temperatures more likely around 18’C – give or take, though I wouldn’t rule out something a bit cooler, say 14’C. A cooler night with an outside chance of a frost in sheltered spots, but more likely around 5’C ish.

Sunday looks similar – some cloud at times, some sunny spells also, and temperatures more likely around 18’C, give or take.

Next week likely sees two changes – the Atlantic continuing to wake up and trying to push low pressure systems towards the UK, but also much warmer air trying to push up from the south.

We could end up at either extreme, ie an unsettled and fairly cool week – or a very warm and fairly sunny week (the latter is more likely), or maybe somewhere in between – a couple of very warm days followed by a couple of showery days (or vice versa).

Certainly plausible that it could even become quite hot, say mid 20’s upwards.…