Unsettled to start the week with further wind/rain/showers, high pressure taking control somewhat by the weekend.

Thanks to Jonathon, again, for the photograph.

We start the week with Storm Herminia in control, named by the Spanish Met Office (we don’t rename previously named storm systems).

With low pressure so in control, it means a day of sunshine and showers – fairly limited sunshine, plenty of showers, some heavy, perhaps a rumble of thunder, a small chance of sleet/hail mixed into the heaviest. Around 7’C in a strong and gusty wind. Showers continue through the night, becoming more organised if anything, some heavy ones remaining. Still windy, 8’C.

For Tuesday, low pressure will be over England, slowly moving east. Lots of cloud, a bit of sunshine and plenty of showers – a bit less punch to them than the day before but still a chance of some fairly heavy ones. Still windy, but again, less so than Monday. Around 8’C. Showers fading in the evening, cloud gradually breaking up overnight to leave clear skies before dawn – down to around 2’C.

Some uncertainty for Wednesday, a new low pressure system will track across northern France – quite where the northern extent of the rain will be is uncertain. So, after a bright start, I’d suggest a roughly 30% chance it becomes cloudy with some rain, a 30% chance it becomes cloudy but stays mostly dry, and a 40% chance we keep hazy sunshine. I won’t have time to update beforehand, due to work, so you’ll need to check other sources tomorrow if you need certainty on this. It might even be Wednesday morning before we can be sure of the track. Around 7’C. A chilly night – if the rain stayed to our south, then a frost possible.

Thursday looks sunny. A bit of cloud around, mostly later in the day but otherwise sunshine. Temperatures pretty normal, 6’C, maybe 7’C. Frost likely to start the night, down to around 0’C, but temperatures picking up a tad as cloud increases in the second half of the night.

By Friday, we start to see the Azores high having more impact on our weather, though some weaker weather fronts will progress.

One such weather front will cross on Friday, most likely in the morning – some uncertainty on details right now, perhaps very minimal rain, perhaps a few hours of more moderate rain. Perhaps brighter later in the day, and around 8’C. Frost and/or fog possible overnight.

Saturday probably on the cloudy side, some uncertainty on any fog and how long that lingers for. Temperatures somewhere between 4’C and 8’C – on the lower end if there is fog that lingers. Cloudy overnight, another weather front crossing later in the night which may bring a bit of rain. Around 7’C.

Sunday probably starts cloudy, some bits of rain from the fairly weak weather front. Sunnier later. Around 9’C, maybe a tad more with a slightly milder influence around.

The trend next week should be for high pressure to gradually gain more influence – we may see another fairly weak weather front at some point in the early part of the week.

More likely on the cloudier side of the spectrum, if not outright cloudy, but still too early to be sure…we sure surely due a sunny high pressure system?! Not that the weather works like that!

Next forecast probably Friday morning, hopefully no more short-notice updates required.